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State-by-state energy-water-land-health impacts of the US net-zero emissions goal

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wind turbines, land, and water, sunset

Abstract

As decision-makers at various scales begin to design strategies to implement the US net-zero goal, a holistic understanding of its broader economic and sustainability implications at subnational scales is important to shape public support and facilitate implementation. Here, we use an integrated assessment model to explore four different pathways toward the US net-zero goal and investigate their energy-water-land-health implications at the state level. We show that achieving the net-zero goal implies significant capital turnover (170–200 billion USD/year capital investment and 16–29 billion USD/year stranded assets in the power sector), reduced water withdrawal (120–210 km3/year), avoided air pollution damages (220–300 billion USD/year), and expanded forests (300–500 thousand km2). However, the economic and sustainability implications of achieving the net-zero goal at the state-level may not be correlated to a state's contribution to national emission reductions. Our study lays the foundations for a deeper understanding of the broader implications of the US net-zero goal to facilitate cost-effective and environmentally sustainable transitions toward that goal.


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School Authors: Alicia Zhao, Yiyun 'Ryna' Cui

Other Authors: Lauren Harry-Villain, Yann Briand, Henri Waisman, Frederic Rudolph, Catherine Hall, Harro van Asselt, Mark Gjerek, Rico Merkert, Marcio de Almeida D'Agosto, George Vasconcelos Goes, Daniel Neves Schmitz Gonçalves, Ricardo Delgado Cadena, Maria Rosa Munoz, Dipti Gupta, Amin Hassani, Jordi Tovilla, Thalia Hernandez, Nnaemeka Vincent Emodi, Sidsel Ahlmann Jensen , Hilton Trollip

School Authors: Allen Fawcett, Gokul Iyer, Kathleen Kennedy, Steven J. Smith

Other Authors: Wei Peng, Susan Anenberg, John Bistline, Mark Budolfson, Sara M. Constantino, Kelly Crawford, Kenneth Davis, Peter DeCarlo, Hayden Hashimoto, Casey Helgeson, Xinyuan Huang, Klaus Keller, Harry Kennard, Robert Laumbach, Vijay S. Limaye, Erin Mayfield, James McFarland, Michelle Meyer, Paul Miller, Andrew Place, Nicholas Roy, Christine Schell, Noah Scovronick, Vivek Srikrishnan, Donna Vorhees, Yuanyu Xie