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A pioneering approach to measure increased resilience to face climate change: insights from the Race to Resilience campaign

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Abstract

This paper illustrates a methodology to measure the impact of resilience-building actions on the increased resilience of people and natural systems to face climate change, developed and field-tested around the Race to Resilience Campaign. Despite increasing acknowledgment of the need for robust methodologies and indicators to monitor and evaluate efforts across adaptation planning and implementation, and provide credibility, accountability and transparency to such actions, there is still a lack of sufficiently standardized and agreed upon metrics able to capture the effect of resilience-building actions. The proposal illustrated in this manuscript offers a pioneering approach for high-level tracking, monitoring and evaluation of resilience-building efforts of non-state actors, based on two complementing sets of metrics: depth metrics measure the degree to which an action is generating a change to fundamental conditions which can demonstrably be related to increasing resilience; while magnitude metrics offer a quantification of the beneficiaries that are affected by these changes. Underlying both stand the Resilience Attributes: properties which can be soundly associated with triggering resilience across different systems, and which can then be used to assess increased resilience 'by proxy': that is, by seeing how an action sets forth changes in properties commonly associated with resilience. These Attributes were identified based on updated scientific literature and co-construction exercises with global experts. The integration of Depth and Magnitude indices, adjusted by a Confidence Index evaluating data reliability, allows to estimate the overall contribution of a set of actions on increasing resilience against climate challenges. Based on the above, a possible Monitoring & Evaluation cycle is proposed, and an illustration is offered on two case studies from the Race to Resilience campaign. Key strengths, lessons learned and insights are summarized to stimulate the global discussion, in the context of the Global Stocktake and Global Goal on Adaptation.


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School Authors: Anand Patwardhan

Other Authors: Carole Green MPH, Marina Andrijevic PhD, Prof Jeremy J Hess MD, Shonali Pachauri PhD, Sam Sellers PhD, Bas van Ruijven PhD, Prof Kristie L Ebi PhD, Fatimah Ahamad PhD, Christofer Åström PhD, Prof Kristin Aunan, Prof Peng Bi PhD, Prof Robbert Biesbroek PhD, Josephine Borghi PhD, Prof Kathryn Bowen PhD, Cyril Caminade PhD, Prof Timothy R Carter PhD, Prof Luiz Augusto Cassanha Galvao PhD, Prof Guéladio Cissé PhD, Shouro Dasgupta PhD, Alex de Sherbinin PhD, Asya Dimitrova PhD, Neal Fann MPH, Prof Katja Frieler PhD, Jan Fuglestvedt PhD, Santu Ghosh PhD, Georgiana Gordon-Strachan PhD, Prof Yuming Guo PhD, Sarath Guttikunda PhD, Jimmy Hilly PhD, Roman Hoffmann PhD, Prof Samir KC PhD, Gregor Kiesewetter PhD, Prof Ho Kim PhD, Prof Brama Kone PhD, Prof Whanhee Lee PhD, Anna Lipsanen MSc, Simon J Lloyd PhD, Prof Hermann Lotze-Campen PhD, Prof Shuaib Lwasa PhD, Prof Glenn McGregor PhD, Prof Robert McLeman PhD, Prof Andy Morse PhD, Prof Kris A Murray PhD, Nicholas H Ogden Dphil, Yasna Palmeiro-Silva PhD, Helen Pineo PhD, Poornima Prahhakaran PhD, Keywan Riahi PhD, Prof Sadie J Ryan PhD, Vanessa Schweizer PhD, Jan C Semenza PhD, Sokhna Thiam PhD, Edmond Totin PhD, Roberto O Valdivia PhD, Prof Detlef van Vuuren PhD